With all the attention now on the offseason and 2021 draft, there's a lot of talk about the risk of drafting a QB, or an OL, or a DB. Let's evaluate that risk historically.
The corner success rate doesn't surprise me. The OL does. Always felt like a lot of tackles bust hard, but maybe that's because a missed OL pick hurts a lot more than most other positions
The price requested by Houston could be huge, but they have to deal with a player who doesn't want play for them and a falling price every year. What could they do in 2023, still pay 40 mil/y for a player who probably want go away as soon as possible ? It is a bad situation for them too, I can't see a trade now with 10 mil. cap hit, but in a couple of years... For much less than 4-5 first picks. From the SF point of view it could be doable if we could offer some players, more than picks, but most our players are "damaged goods" for injuries, so giving up a lot of picks now would be a suicide. But in 2023 if QB is still a weakness I could see a solid offer for DW. Obviously a lot of "if" and two years is a very long time.
Gotta be honest, I do think that a D. Watson trade is a pipe dream. We won't be able to meet Houston's demands in a trade, and I, for one, am not willing to give up our core for a QB.
As for the draft, if Saleh goes, we need to take Surtain if he's there. However, if Saleh stays, I think it would be a wise move to trade back to late 1st (and pick up additional second and fourth-round picks) and pick one of Oweh and Rousseau. Either way, we need to take C Josh Myers in the 2nd. If we do end up doing the trade back, I would also like to grab Mac Jones in the 2nd.
Can you break down pass/rush percentages for beginning of 2019 and the last half of the season? Why would Shanahan agree to sign him if they didn't believe he can throw? Did something they saw in the beginning of the season change what they thought? If i remember correctly they leaned on the run game much more at the beginning of 2019 season and more sonon Jimmy towards the end.
The corner success rate doesn't surprise me. The OL does. Always felt like a lot of tackles bust hard, but maybe that's because a missed OL pick hurts a lot more than most other positions
The price requested by Houston could be huge, but they have to deal with a player who doesn't want play for them and a falling price every year. What could they do in 2023, still pay 40 mil/y for a player who probably want go away as soon as possible ? It is a bad situation for them too, I can't see a trade now with 10 mil. cap hit, but in a couple of years... For much less than 4-5 first picks. From the SF point of view it could be doable if we could offer some players, more than picks, but most our players are "damaged goods" for injuries, so giving up a lot of picks now would be a suicide. But in 2023 if QB is still a weakness I could see a solid offer for DW. Obviously a lot of "if" and two years is a very long time.
Gotta be honest, I do think that a D. Watson trade is a pipe dream. We won't be able to meet Houston's demands in a trade, and I, for one, am not willing to give up our core for a QB.
As for the draft, if Saleh goes, we need to take Surtain if he's there. However, if Saleh stays, I think it would be a wise move to trade back to late 1st (and pick up additional second and fourth-round picks) and pick one of Oweh and Rousseau. Either way, we need to take C Josh Myers in the 2nd. If we do end up doing the trade back, I would also like to grab Mac Jones in the 2nd.
If Saleh goes:
No. 12 - CB Surtain
No. 43 - C Josh Myers
Saleh pick - DE Cam Sample
No. 116 - CB/DE/OL
No. 155 - WR Tremon Grimes
No. 172 - G Royce Newman
No. 173 - CB Jordyn Peters
No. 194 - S Tyree Gillespie
No. 204 - RB Michael Carter
If Saleh stays:
No. 24 (PIT) - DE Jayson Oweh/Greg Rousseau
No. 43 - C Josh Myers
No. 56 (PIT) - QB Mac Jones
No. 116 - CB unknown
No. 138 - S Ar-Darius Washington
No. 155 - WR Tremon Grimes
No. 172 - G Royce Newman
No. 173 - CB Jordyn Peters
No. 194 - S Tyree Gillespie
No. 204 - RB Michael Carter
Can you break down pass/rush percentages for beginning of 2019 and the last half of the season? Why would Shanahan agree to sign him if they didn't believe he can throw? Did something they saw in the beginning of the season change what they thought? If i remember correctly they leaned on the run game much more at the beginning of 2019 season and more sonon Jimmy towards the end.
Just curious, why didn't you break this into 2 seperate articles and increase the content on the site?